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Climate Research scandal-what it means-CREDIBILITY GAP! News for Kiwis, Aussies, Canucks, and Am's!
Submitted by Orson on Thu, 2009-11-26 11:48
What does the scandal over the emails, data, and code released from Britain's Climate research Unit (CRU) mean? Climate science authorities are caught in an expanding gap between their claims and public believability.
I am an environmental scientist who has spent much of his time living in the nearest US equivalent to Britain's CRU, the university and federal research institutions on atmospheric science in and around Boulder, Colorado. I have found myself on both sides of this issure through two decades, and have hobnobbed with some of the leading critics and authorities in climate research. Here is what I’ve found.
(An aside: A good beginner's place to catch up on the science and politics of global warming is Chris Horner’s “Politically Incorrect Guide to Global Warming” — especially chapters 5 “The ‘Consensus’ Lie” and 6 “Getting hot in Here?”)
The current CRU scandal is, as Iain Murray says (below), a lot like the Pentagon Papers, probing documents published on the front page of the New York Times in 1971. This was a top-secret DOD history of the Vietnam War, leaked by an insider, casting deep doubts about the veracity of authorities, creating a widening 'credibility gap.'
In the CRU data dump, the leaker, again, is most likely an insider. And in the world of global warming science, CRU is analogous to the Pentagon — defacto headquarters of the IPCC. Accordingly, many lead IPCC report authors are either from CRU or else inside the cabal (eg, Keven Trenberth now at National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, or Ben Santer at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, near San Francisco ).
Now, what is at stake? Nothing less than almost everything the IPCC wants the world to do. Why? Because CRU - together with NASA's Goddard Institute of Space Science, home of Al Gore's guru James Hansen - manage the world’s surface temperature records claiming unprecedented warming in the last few decades. And everything predicted to happen and the costly choices they are pressing depend on these temperature records being true. Here’s what is claimed by the IPCC, based on CRUs work:
Increases in temperature are accelerating, it shows ominously. (Never mind that IPCC co-chair Dr Susan Solomon admitted in Denver, Colorado this August that recent years have indeed been cooler in the world.) Despite this claim, attempts to check this work and spring raw data and methods from CRU (as well as GISS) have failed. They claim these are either already public or else subject to confidentiality agreements. Neither is true, and satellite measurements do not support these surface temperature claims.
To simplify where this is going and why, lets look at another concurrent scandal breaking in New Zealand. The government there also claims unprecedented recent warming, and this alarm is used to justify its support of cap and trade policies to control CO2 emissions.
A similar “adjustment” procedure has been evident in US temperature records as kept by GISS. Suspicions have long been aroused that similar “adjustments” are going on with world temperature records kept by CRU.
The first to file FOIA requests was Willis Eschenbach. This maybe twenty-eight page long and email document-rich account is compiled from past attempts to spring the relevant records aided by the new cache, but it ended in 2007. Perhaps a couple of lawyerly readers know where to go from here?
Evidence indicates collusion to deny FOIA records between scientists and FOI officers at the University of East Anglia, where CRU is located. Eschenbach rightly argues that transparency is the basis of all sound science, because only then is replication possible. And only then should IPCCs serious claims be accepted and acted upon.
For background or general readers, here is sequential primer — the best three set of articles I’ve come across on the CRU scandal. I’ve been sharing them with friends to ”get them up to speed” on the story.
2) ”ClimateGate: Violating the Social Contract of Science”-CHARLIE MARTIN
Now, breaking news: the Aussie ETS debate in Parliament is covered on a US global warming skeptics blog
In "The Great Global Warming Swindle," we've all met Dr Tim Ball, emeritus professor from University of Winnipeg, Canada. He earned his PhD from the University of London, becoming Canada's first PhD in climatology.
On Thursday overnight (November 26th), Dr. Ball will be interviewed for two hours on global warming and the CRU scandal on the syndicated radio program "Coast To Coast" with host George Noory. A podcast will be available under the button "Past Shows" above.
I've heard Dr. Ball twice before on this program for a total of three hours. Compelling and informative.
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